Economic Considerations of Golden Shiner Production in Florida Economic Considerations of Golden Shiner Production in Florida
Economic Considerations of Golden Shiner Production in Florida 1
Andrew M. Lazur and David J. Zimet2Recreational freshwater fishing in Florida is estimated to be a one billion dollar business annually (1994--95 Florida Freshwater Sport Fishing Guide and Regulation Summary, Florida Game and Fresh-water Fish Commission); a significant portion of this revenue results from live bait sales. Live bait is preferred by many fishermen for catching several species including crappie and largemouth bass. The most popular bait for bass fishing is the golden shiner which is supplied from aquaculture pro-duction. The majority of baitfish production is located in the Mississippi Delta region. Arkansas leads the country in golden shiner production with 21,000 acres. Golden shiner production in Florida is a potential alternative crop for aquaculture farms.
The economics of golden shiner production has been reviewed for large operations, but no information on small farm production is available. Florida fish farms average under 10 acres, considerably smaller when compared to several hundred acres in the Mississippi delta regions of Arkansas and Mississippi. Most Florida foodfish operations that have recently diversified into baitfish production utilize small 0.25- to 1.0-acre ponds whereas most ponds on large farms in other states are 10--20 acres in size. Small farms are unique and experience specific economic challenges due to their size. Prospective bait producers must be aware of these challenges prior to investing in this business. This publication presents an overview of important economic considerations, including construction, equipment and operating costs of small operations in Florida.
DESCRIPTION OF OPERATIONS
Although the demand for golden shiners is high in Florida and the potential for production is attractive, existing and prospective fish producers will move slowly with small shiner production operations. This is due to the relatively high investment cost of aquaculture, the need for developing the necessary farming expertise and the recognition of the potential problem of oversupply. This is a wise business approach. To present the requirements and economic potential of golden shiner production, operations of two sizes typical of existing farms in Florida are presented.Attention to pond design and construction specifications are important and have direct implications on facility cost and management. Utilizing small levee ponds offers greater management intensity with potentially higher yields, but are more expensive to construct per acre due to a greater number of aerators, water supply and drain lines and greater volume of soil moving compared to larger ponds.
Two operations are demonstrated in this report: a 5.5-acre operation consisting of five 1.0-acre ponds and two 0.25-acre broodstock ponds; and a 22-acre operation consisting of eight 2.5-acre ponds and four 0.5-acre broodstock ponds. The ratio of growout pond acreage to broodstock pond acreage is 10:1 and is consistent with the egg transfer method of golden shiner production. Broodstock are stocked and encouraged to spawn on artificial mats with the egg transfer method. The mats with eggs are transferred to growout ponds where the eggs hatch and the fish are fed until harvest.
Pond Construction and Installations
All pond construction follows Soil Conservation Service design criteria including: 16-foot top widths, 3:1 levee slopes, 6-foot levee height with 1 foot of freeboard allowing a 5-foot water depth, and an 8-inch drain. An average charge of $1.00 per cubic yard is used for earth-moving costs which reflects common charges for motor- or tractor-pulled pans ( Figure 1 ). The use of pans is recommended to ensure necessary soil compaction. They are also more efficient in moving soil than bulldozers. A grass cover and gravel on levees to control erosion and to allow all-weather access to ponds for feeding and harvesting purposes are recommended. A detention pond for temporary holding of pond effluent is included in the 22-acre operation as required by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection(DEP), General Fish Farm Permit. The 5.5-acre operation does not require a permit since it does not exceed the 10,000 pounds per year and 10 acres criteria as stated in the 1994 Department of Environmental Protection general permit rule. Pond construction costs for the 5.5- and 22-acre operations are presented in Table 1 and Table 2 .
A water well and supply lines are required for successful golden shiner production ( Figure 2 ). Water is required for pond flooding and replenishing water loss from evaporation and seepage. Well water is necessary for the holding and grading tank facility. Water supply and drain lines should be constructed from PVC plastic pipe. A 6-inch well is recommended for the 5.5-acre operation to supply ponds and holding tanks. The 22-acre operation utilizes an 8-inch well.
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Figure 1 .
Electrical supply lines for both operations include a main distribution panel and underground electrical lines to ponds for the aerators. One main panel box with individual aerator timers is used for the 5.5-acre operation. The 22-acre operation utilizes four main panel boxes with timers and breakers.
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Figure 2 . Equipment and Operations
The necessary production equipment for the two operations is listed in Table 1 and Table 2 . A fish holding/grading tank facility is essential for any size shiner production operation. Golden shiners are delicate fish and do not respond well to handling. It is necessary for shiners to be "cured" prior to marketing. After the fish are harvested from ponds ( Figure 3 ), they are transferred into the holding tanks. Curing, also known as hardening, refers to holding fish in cool well water for a minimum of 2--3 days which allows fish to become acclimated to lower water temperatures; this reduces fish respiration and stress levels. Salt is usually added to the water to reduce stress and promote the protective mucus layer. Purging further reduces the fishes demand for oxygen. The end result of the curing process is a hardier and higher quality fish that can better tolerate handling. The holding tank facility ( Figure 4 ) consists of a pole barn, concrete tanks, regenerative blower for aeration, air and water supply and drain lines and grading bars. Two 4'×15'×3' tanks are included in the 5.5-acre operation and four tanks for the 22-acre operation.
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Figure 3 . Ownership of a truck and tractor is assumed, and it is estimated half of the cost and use will be designated to the shiner production operation. A ¾-ton truck is recommended for delivery of fish and for hauling other heavy loads. Both budgets include the necessary aeration, feeding, water quality monitoring and harvesting equipment. A small enclosure in the pole shed for feed storage and manual feeding is used in the 5.5-acre operation. The 22-acre operation utilizes a larger feed storage shed requiring air-conditioning to reduce feed quality degradation due to heat and humidity. A 500-pound capacity feed blower is included in the 22-acre operation to assist in feeding the 2.5-acre ponds. The expected life, investment, and depreciation costs of equipment are presented in Table 3 .
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Figure 4 . ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
The construction and equipment cost estimates and enterprise budgets presented in this publication are based on the following assumptions:
- Land is previously owned and not included in capital investment.
- Land has a suitable clay soil and elevation for pond construction.
- Suitable quality and quantity of well water is available at normal depths.
- Electrical power lines are near farm location.
- Interest rate for construction and equipment is 8% of average investment which is calculated at one half of the cost. Interest rate for operating capital is 1% per month for 9 months on taxes and insurance and all variable costs except labor and marketing costs.
- Bagged feed at $300/ton is used.
- Adult shiners for broodstock are stocked at 500 lb/acre and cost $3.50/lb. There is a one-time charge for broodstock. In all instances other than the initial stocking, current broodstock is sold and the proceeds are used to purchase new broodstock. Because there is no net effect, the latter exchanges are not included in the budgets.
- Fertilizer costs include organic fertilizers, cotton seed and alfalfa meal, and an inorganic, liquid phosphorus (10-34-0) fertilizer.
- A 2:1 feed conversion is used to estimate feed requirements.
- Chemical costs include two pond treatments for parasite infections.
- Electricity cost is based on operating the well to fill ponds twice per year and for an average aerator use of 8 hr/day for 180 days. The kilowatt charge used is $0.07 per kilowatt hour.
- Taxes and insurance are calculated as 2.5% of half of the equipment and construction costs.
- Owner/operator labor is charged in the enterprise budgets, but excluded from the cash flow analyses. The charge in the enterprise budget is made to indicate that even though no cash is expended, unpaid labor is not completely free and that some other use could be made of the time spent on the golden shiner operation. Part-time labor to assist owner in harvesting and feeding is included for both operations.
- Since golden shiners can be heavily preyed upon by wading birds, costs for typical bird scaring or pyrotechnic supplies are included.
- The majority of golden shiners are sold during the fall to spring months. Since fish size varies at harvest, sub-marketable-size fish can be stocked into other ponds and fed until marketable size is reached. All fish are sold to wholesalers or distributors.
- Fish income in enterprise budgets is based on a $3.25/lb FOB farm or pondbank price. 1995 pondbank prices in North Florida ranged from $3.00--3.50/lb.
- A yield of 1600 lb/acre is used for the 5.5-acre operation and 1200 lb/acre for the 22-acre operation. Average yields of 1850 lb/acre have been achieved in small ponds in north Florida. In an effort to be conservative, a slightly lower yield is used for the 5.5-acre operation. A lower yield is used for the 22-acre operation due to the larger size ponds and reduced management control. Some large ponds have achieved a yield of 1200 lb/acre.
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Enterprise Budgets
Enterprise or annual production budgets for both operations are presented in Table 4 and Table 5 . These budgets include a column for the reader to enter actual costs because these costs will be farm specific. Variable, fixed and total costs are included. Fixed costs are costs required and independent of the level of production and include: interest on construction and equipment, taxes, insurance and permit fees, and depreciation. Depreciation is a common business cost and involves an annual charge for the original cost of the item divided by its useful life. Breakeven price per pound, net return to owner and net return per acre are presented to allow for comparison to other fish crops.Both operations show a positive profitability with the assumptions presented in this analysis. Net return per acre for the 22-acre operation is about 120% greater than for the 5.5-acre operation. Generally larger operations are more efficient than smaller ones because larger ones spread the capital investment costs over greater production volumes. The breakeven prices per pound are $2.93 for the 5.5-acre operation and $2.28 for the 22-acre operation. In the assumptions of this analysis, a 400 pound per acre reduction in yield for the 22-acre operation compared to the 5.5-acre operation is used to reflect observations of large pond production. Had the same yield been used, the difference of breakeven price values would have been even greater. Because the enterprise budgets presented represent only one set of assumptions, a sensitivity analysis is necessary to investigate other possible assumptions or conditions which can affect enterprise profitability.
Cash Flow Analysis
New Operations Sixteen-year cash flows for each of the start-up operations are presented in Table 6 and Table 7 . A time frame of sixteen years was selected because it encompasses the seven-year loan payment period and two major replacement/depreciation cycles after the loan is repaid. Because of the limited income caused by its size, the 5.5-acre operation does not exhibit a positive cumulative cash flow until Year 10, two years after the loan is fully repaid. It barely breaks even at that point. The annual situation is quite different. In all years but three, annual returns are positive. Returns are negative in only one year after full production is attained. In that year, Year 6, a major replacement is projected, and the operation does not generate enough cash to meet the need.The 22-acre operation exhibits a different outcome. The 22-acre operation has a positive cumulative cash flow starting in Year 5 and a positive annual cash flow starting in Year 3. It is only in the first two years, before full production is attained, that the annual cash flows are negative. Enough cash is generated to withstand the major replacement of Year 6. In most years after the loan is repaid, about $2,000 in cash is generated per acre.
Golden shiner production is profitable for both size operations ( Table 4 and Table 5 ). The cash flow projections ( Table 6 and Table 7 ) reveal that there is a substantial time lag between start-up and positive cumulative cash flow, especially for the 5.5-acre operation. Many prospective producers already have made large investments to develop ponds for some other type of aquaculture enterprise.
Existing Operations
Cash flow projections of golden shiner production for producers with existing ponds are presented in Table 8 and Table 9 . It is assumed that they have on hand almost all the machinery and equipment to run a golden shiner operation. The only purchases or construction that are necessary are those for the breeding and production of baitfish. It is assumed that they already have a feed storage shed but lack the fish holding tanks.The purchase or construction of new equipment and installations for the 5.5-acre operation totals almost $11,000; $24,000 for the 22-acre operation. It is also assumed that, in the first year, a loan payment for the existing installation and equipment will have to be made. In the case of the 5.5-acre operation the payment of the old loan amounts to $4,700. It amounts to $15,600 for the 22-acre operation. The terms of the loans are the same as those for a new operation (70% of cost for 7 years at 8%).
Cash flow projections for the operations with existing ponds are favorable. As before, annual cash flows are negative only for the first year. Cumulative cash flow for the 5.5-acre operation is projected to be negative through two years (compared to nine years for the new operation). For the 22-acre operation the projection is also negative through two years (compared to four years for the new operation).
Sensitivity Analysis
Many factors or inputs can influence business profitability. By nature, fish production can be a risky business which involves the potential of reduced yields due to poor water quality, fish disease and predation. To more completely evaluate the profitability of the 22-acre operation, three assumptions were varied. The effects of the changes on net return per acre are presented in Table 10 . In the sensitivity analysis, interest rates varied from 8 to 15%, yield varied from 800 to 1600 pound per acre and selling price varied from $2.75 to $3.75 per pound. These variations reflect occurrences that might be expected in baitfish production in Florida.The lowest net return per acre is -$628 and the highest is $2,846. The variation in yield had the greatest effect on net return per acre. Using an 800 pound per acre yield resulted in a loss at a selling price per pound of $2.75, $3.00 or $3.25. Returns were also negative at the two higher interest rates with a price of $3.25 and yield of 800 pounds. Using the same yield, but higher selling prices of $3.50 and $3.75 showed a positive net return per acre. However, the profit margin at $3.50 might not be enough to warrant the high investment costs. Using a 1200 or 1600 pound per acre yield at all five selling prices resulted in attractive returns. This demonstrates the impact that good pond management has on fish yield and enterprise profitability. Lastly, it should be noted that variation of interest rates had the least effect on return.
CONCLUSION
The net return per acre and breakeven estimates presented in this analysis indicate that small-scale golden shiner production in Florida can be a profitable alternative for aquaculture producers. Compared to small-scale production of catfish for wholesale markets, golden shiner production offers greater potential returns. The cash flow projections for operations with pre-existing ponds and equipment indicate that producers who had difficulty earning positive returns from catfish production could generate greater returns and a positive cash flow from golden shiner production.The cost of pond construction and equipment, $14,604 and $7,374 per acre for the 5.5- and 22-acre operations, respectively requires a large financial commitment. These costs are specific to the conditions listed in this report and serve only as a guide. It is essential that prospective bait producers investigate their specific costs prior to investing. To improve farm profits and offset the high investment costs, gearing production towards larger fish which can sell for higher prices might be a sound strategy for Florida producers. In addition to financial considerations, baitfish production requires time and education. Prior to investment, the farmer must learn the necessary management skills. Attention to water quality, nutrition and predator management will greatly reduce risk and influence farm profits. Proper pond design, construction, and an adequate fish holding facility are critical to producing baitfish.
Identifying the local market conditions is essential to success. Prospective buyers will want to determine if new shiner producers can meet their needs of consistent quality and quantity. Understanding the many factors of the bait market including the seasonality of demand, fish size preferences and individual wholesaler requirements, will assist the farmer in developing a business plan and production operation.
Tables
Table 1.
Table 1. Pond construction and equipment cost for a 5.5-acre golden shiner production operation. Includes five 1.0-acre growout and two 0.25-acre brood ponds. Item Cost/Unit Quantity Cost Your Cost Pond Construction Earth moving (cubic yards) $1 27,000 $27,000 $ Well (6 inch) 1 7,000 Water supply line 1,600 Electrical supply line 2,000 Drainage systems 6 2,400 Gravel and grass cover 960 Construction Total $40,960 $ Equipment 20' ´ 15' pole shed 1 $700 $ 4' ´ 16' ´ 3' holding/grading tank 2 1,400 Tank facility supplies 1,200 3/4-ton truck (50% allocation) $ 17,000 8,500 50 hp tractor (50% allocation) 16,000 8,000 Mower 1,500 1 1,500 Electric paddlewheel aerator: 1 hp 1,300 5 6,500 Electric pump sprayer aerator: 0.75 hp 700 2 1,400 Seine (200' ´ 8' deep) 1,600 1 1,600 Seine reel 2,200 1 2,200 Feed storage enclosure 500 1 500 Fish hauling tank 1,200 1 1,200 Boat with motor 1,500 1 1,500 Oxygen meter and water quality test kit 1,150 1 1,150 Egg mats 5 150 750 Dip nets, waders and bird control supplies 785 Broodstock (pounds) 3.50 250 875 Equipment Total $39,360 $ TOTAL $80,320 $ Total Cost/Acre $14,604 $
Table 2. Pond construction and equipment costs for a 22-acre golden shiner production operation. Includes eight 2.5 acre growout and four 0.5-acre brood ponds. Item Cost/Unit Quantity Cost Your Cost Pond Construction Earth moving (cubic yards) $ 1 66,500 $ 66,500 $ Well (8 inch) 1 11,000 Water supply line 3,600 Electrical supply line 3,800 Drainage systems (12) and detention pond 9,800 Gravel and grass cover 3,600 Construction Total $98,300 Equipment 20' ´ 25' pole shed 1 $ 1,000 $ 4' ´ 16' ´ 3' holding/grading tank 4 2,500 Tank facility supplies 1,800 3/4 ton truck (50% allocation) $ 17,000 8,500 50 hp tractor (50% allocation) 16,000 8,000 Mower 1,500 1 1,500 Electric paddlewheel aerator: 2 hp 2,000 8 16,000 Electric pump sprayer aerator: 0.75 hp 700 4 2,800 Seine (300' ´ 8' deep) 1,800 1 1,800 Seine reel 2,200 1 2,200 15' ´ 20' feed storage shed 2,500 1 2,500 500-pound feed blower 3,200 1 3,200 Fish hauling tank 1,200 1 1,200 Boat with motor 1,500 1 1,500 Oxygen meter and water quality test kit 1,150 1 1,150 Egg mats 5 600 3,000 Dip nets, waders and bird control supplies 1,785 Broodstock (pounds) 3.5 1,000 3,500 Equipment Total $63,935 $ TOTAL $162,235 $ Total Cost/Acre $7,374 $
Table 3. Initial investment and annual depreciation costs for the 5.5 and 22-acre golden shiner production operations. Item Useful life (years) Investment $ Depreciation $ Ponds 20 5% of new well and pump (6" - 200 gpm) 20 7,000 350 (8" - 350 gpm) 20 11,000 550 Tank facility1 20 5% of new 50 hp tractor (50%) 15 8,000 535 Truck (50% allocation) 5 8,500 1700 Mower 10 1,500 150 Paddlewheel aerator (1 hp) 10 1,300 130 (2 hp) 10 2,000 200 sprayer aerator 5 700 140 Feed blower 10 3,200 320 Feed storage shed 10 10% of new Boat with motor 10 1,500 150 Fish hauling tank 10 1,200 120 Seine 5 20% of new Seine reel 10 2,200 220 Oxygen meter 5 900 180 Water quality kit 5 250 50 Dip net 5 25 5 waders 2 70 35 bird control supplies 5 20% of new egg mats 2 5 2.50 broodstock 2 3.50 0 1 Tank facility consists of pole shed and holding tanks as described in the description of operations section.
Table 4. Estimated annual costs and returns for a 5.5-acre golden shiner production operation. Item and Unit Quantity Price (dollars) Cost or Value (dollars) Your Cost (dollars) 1. Gross Receipts (pounds) 8,000 3.25 26,000 2. Variable Costs feed, tons 8 300 2,400 fertilizer 250 electricity, KwH 28,571 0.07 2,000 fuel, gallons 250 1 250 repairs and maintenance 750 chemicals 750 miscellaneous supplies 400 family labor, hours1 600 5.00 3,000 hired labor, hours 400 5.00 2,000 interest on operating capital2 7796 9% 702 Total Variable Costs 12,502 3. Fixed Costs capital charges on construction, equipment and initial broodstock3 3,189 taxes and insurance 997 depreciation4 6,763 Total Fixed Costs 10,949 4. Total Costs 23,451 5. Breakeven price/pound 2.93 6. Net return to owner and land5 2,549 7. Net return/acre 463 1Although familiy labor is upaid, a reasonable charge for its time is included in the enterprise budget. There is no corresponding charge made in the cash flow estimates. 2 Includes interest on all variable costs except for hired and family labor plus interest on taxes and insurance. 3Capital charges are calculated as 8% of average investment of construction, equipment and initial broodstock.Average investment equals to one-half the cost of each item included in these groupings. 4Broodshtock is excluded from depreciation calculations. 5Return is to owner and land because no land charge is included in the budget.
Table 5. Estimated annual costs and returns for a 22-acre golden shiner production operation. Item and Unit Quantity Price (dollars) Cost or Value (dollars) Your Cost (dollars) 1. Gross Receipts (pounds) 24,000 3.25 78,000 2. Variable Costs feed, tons 24 300 7,200 fertilizer 700 electricity, KwH 50,000 0.07 3,500 fuel, gallons 600 1 600 repairs and maintenance 2,000 chemicals 3,000 miscellaneous supplies 700 family labor, hours1 1,000 5.00 5,000 hired labor, hours 2,000 5.00 10,000 interest on operating capital2 19,717 9% 1,775 Total Variable Costs 34,475 3. Fixed Costs capital charges on construction and equipment and broodstock3 6,453 taxes and insurance 2,017 depreciation4 11,775 Total Fixed Costs 20,245 4. Total Costs 54,720 5. Breakeven price/pound 2.28 6. Net return to owner and land5 23,280 7. Net return/acre 1,058 1 Although family labor is unpaid, a reasonable charge for its time is included in the enterprise budget. There is no corresponding charge made in the cash flow estimates. 2 Includes interest on all variable costs except for hired and family labor plus interest on taxes and insurance. 3 Capital charges are calculated as 8% of average investment of construction, equipment, and initial broodstock. Average investment equals one-half the cost of each item included in the groupings. 4 Broodstock is excluded from depreciation calculations. 5 Return is to owner and land because no land charge is included in the budget.
Table 6. Sixteen-year annual and cumulative csh flow for 5.5-acre golden shiner operation, producing 8,000 pounds sold at $3.25 per pound. Year Income and Expenses (in dollars) Cash Flow Income Initial Investment Operating Costs3 Loan Payment4 Replace-ment5 Annual Cumu- lative 1 56,2241 80,320 0 0 0 -24,096 -24,096 2 15,6002 10,597 10,799 0 -5,796 -29,892 3 26,000 10,597 10,799 820 3,874 -26,108 4 26,000 10,597 10,799 0 4,604 -21,503 5 26,000 10,597 10,799 820 3,874 -17,719 6 26,000 10,597 10,799 13,135 -8,531 -26,250 7 26,000 10,597 10,799 820 3,874 -22,466 8 26,000 10,597 10,799 0 4,604 -17,861 9 26,000 10,597 820 14,583 - 3,278 10 26,000 10,597 0 15,403 12,125 11 26,000 10,597 13,955 1,448 13,574 12 26,000 10,597 11,700 3,703 17,277 13 26,000 10,597 820 14,583 31,860 14 26,000 10,597 0 15,403 47,264 15 26,000 10,597 820 14,583 61,847 16 26,000 10,597 13,135 2,268 64,115 1 This sum is the amount of the loan (70% of $79,720). 2 This sum is 60% of income from full production. 3 This value includes all operating costs from Table 4 minus family labor and adding cost of insurance. 4 Loan payment is based on the amount of the loan financed at 8% for seven years. 5 The values in this column are consistent with the years of economic life displayed in Table 3 .
Table 7. Sixteen-year annual and cumulative cash flow for 22-acre operation, producing 24,000 pounds soldat $3.25 per pound.
Year Income and Expenses (in dollars) Cash Flow Income Initial Investment Operating Costs3 Loan Payment4 Replace-ment5 Annual Cumu-lative 1 113,5651 162,235 0 0 0 -48,671 -48,671 2 46,8002 31,686 21,813 0 -6,699 -55,369 3 78,000 31,686 21,813 2,210 22,291 -33,078 4 78,000 31,686 21,813 0 24,501 -8,576 5 78,000 31,686 21,813 2,210 22,291 13,715 6 78,000 31,686 21,813 13,675 10,826 24,542 7 78,000 31,686 21,813 2,210 22,291 46,833 8 78,000 31,686 21,813 0 24,501 71,334 9 78,000 31,686 2,210 44,104 115,439 10 78,000 31,686 0 46,314 161,753 11 78,000 31,686 14,710 31,604 193,357 12 78,000 31,686 13,675 32,639 225,996 13 78,000 31,686 0 46,314 272,310 14 78,000 31,686 2,210 44,104 316,414 15 78,000 31,686 0 46,314 362,728 16 78,000 31,686 13,675 32,639 395,367 1 This sum is the amount of the loan (70% of $161,335). 2 This sum is 60% of income from full production. 3 This value includes all operating costs from Table 5 minus family labor and adding cost of insurance.
4 Loan payment is based on the loan amount financed at 8% for seven years. 5 The values in this column are consistent with the years of economic life displayed in Table 3 .
Table 8. Sixteen-year annual and cumulative cash flow for 5.5-acre operation, with existing ponds and equipment producing 8,000 pounds sold at $3.25 per pound. Year Income and Expenses (in dollars) Cash Flow Income Initial Investment Operating Costs3 Loan Payment Replace-ment5 Annual Cumu-lative 1 7,6021 10,860 0 4,7004 0 -7,958 -7,958 2 15,6002 10,597 1,561 0 3,442 -4,516 3 26,000 10,597 1,561 820 13,022 8,507 4 26,000 10,597 1,561 0 13,842 22,349 5 26,000 10,597 1,561 820 13,022 35,371 6 26,000 10,597 1,561 13,135 707 36,079 7 26,000 10,597 1,561 820 13,022 49,101 8 26,000 10,597 1,561 0 13,842 62,943 9 26,000 10,597 820 14,583 77,527 10 26,000 10,597 0 15,403 92,930 11 26,000 10,597 12,250 3,153 96,083 12 26,000 10,597 13,135 2,268 98,351 13 26,000 10,597 820 14,583 112,935 14 26,000 10,597 0 15,403 128,338 15 26,000 10,597 820 14,583 142,921 16 26,000 10,597 13,135 2,268 145,190 1 This sum is the amount of the loan (70% of $10,860). 2 This sum is 60% of income from full production. 3 This value includes all operating costs from Table 4 minus family labor and adding cost of insurance. 4 The first year's loan payment is to cover the final year payment for the previous loan to construct ponds and purchase machinery and equipment. Loan payments for years 2-8 are based on financing a loan of $10,860 for seven years at 8%. 5 The values in this column are consistent with the years of economic life in Table 3 .
Table 9. Sixteen-year annual and cumulative cash flow for 22-acre operation with existing ponds and equipment producing 24,000 pounds sold at $3.25 per pound. Year Income and Expenses (in dollars) Cash Flow (dollars) Income InitialInvestment
Operating Costs3 LoanPayment
Replace-ment5
Annual Cumu-lative
1 16,4751 23,535 0 15,6004 0 -22,660 -22,660 2 46,8002 31,686 3,164 0 11,950 -10,710 3 78,000 31,686 3,164 2,210 40,940 30,229 4 78,000 31,686 3,164 0 43,150 73,379 5 78,000 31,686 3,164 2,210 40,940 114,319 6 78,000 31,686 3,164 13,675 29,475 143,794 7 78,000 31,686 3,164 2,210 40,940 184,733 8 78,000 31,686 3,164 0 43,150 227,883 9 78,000 31,686 2,210 44,104 271,987 10 78,000 31,686 0 46,314 318,301 11 78,000 31,686 14,710 31,604 349,905 12 78,000 31,686 13,675 32,639 382,544 13 78,000 31,686 0 46,314 428,858 14 78,000 31,686 2,210 44,104 472,962 15 78,000 31,686 0 46,314 519,276 16 78,000 31,686 13,675 32,639 551,915 1 This sum is the amount of the loan (70% of $23,535). 2 This sum is 60% of income from full production. 3 This value includes all operating costs from Table 5 minus family labor and adding cost of insurance.
4 The first year's loan payment is to cover the final year payment for the previous loan to construct the ponds and purchase machinery and equipment. Loan payments for years 2-8 are based on a loan of $23,535 financed for seven years at 8%. 5 The values in this column are consistent with the years of economic life displayed in Table 3 .
Table 10. Net return per acre for various selling prices, yields and interest rates. Selling price per pound (dollars) Yield (lbs/acre) Net return per acre in dollars based on three long term interest rates 8% 12% 15% 800 -370 -518 -628 2.75 1200 511 363 253 1600 1,392 1,244 1,134 800 -185 -336 -446 3.00 1200 783 636 526 1600 1,755 1,608 1,504 800 -7 -154 -264 3.25 1200 1,056 909 799 1600 2,119 1,971 1,861 800 175 27 -83 3.50 1200 1,329 1,181 1,068 1600 2,483 2,335 2,225 800 357 209 99 3.75 1200 1,602 1,454 1,344 1600 2,846 2,799 2,589
Footnotes
1. This document is CIR1167, one of a series of the Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Department, Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida. Original publication date June, 1996. Reviewed July, 2002. Visit the EDIS Web Site at http://edis.ifas.ufl.edu.2. Andrew M. Lazur, assistant professor and Extension Aquaculture Specialist; David J. Zimet, associate professor, Food Resource and Economics Department, Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, 32611.
The Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences (IFAS) is an Equal Opportunity Institution authorized to provide research, educational information and other services only to individuals and institutions that function with non-discrimination with respect to race, creed, color, religion, age, disability, sex, sexual orientation, marital status, national origin, political opinions or affiliations. For more information on obtaining other extension publications, contact your county Cooperative Extension service.
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Cooperative Extension Service, University of Florida, IFAS, Florida A. & M. University Cooperative Extension Program, and Boards of County Commissioners Cooperating. Larry Arrington, Dean.
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